Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001430 0.001515 0.001604 0.001702 0.001807 0.001917 0.002042
2025-03-09 0.001280 0.001398 0.001524 0.001669 0.001833 0.002011 0.002221
2025-03-16 0.001189 0.001329 0.001483 0.001666 0.001877 0.002116 0.002408
2025-03-23 0.001111 0.001265 0.001438 0.001648 0.001898 0.002189 0.002554
2025-03-30 0.001054 0.001218 0.001407 0.001641 0.001927 0.002268 0.002707
2025-04-06 0.000996 0.001167 0.001366 0.001619 0.001933 0.002315 0.002820
2025-04-13 0.000944 0.001119 0.001326 0.001593 0.001931 0.002350 0.002917
2025-04-20 0.000884 0.001058 0.001267 0.001540 0.001890 0.002332 0.002941
2025-04-27 0.000862 0.001042 0.001262 0.001553 0.001934 0.002424 0.003112
2025-05-04 0.000849 0.001038 0.001271 0.001583 0.002000 0.002544 0.003328
2025-05-11 0.000843 0.001041 0.001289 0.001627 0.002083 0.002692 0.003587
2025-05-18 0.000815 0.001014 0.001267 0.001615 0.002092 0.002738 0.003704
2025-05-25 0.000773 0.000970 0.001222 0.001575 0.002065 0.002739 0.003766
2025-06-01 0.000738 0.000935 0.001189 0.001548 0.002055 0.002764 0.003865
2025-06-08 0.000715 0.000914 0.001173 0.001545 0.002078 0.002836 0.004039
2025-06-15 0.000689 0.000888 0.001149 0.001529 0.002081 0.002879 0.004169
2025-06-22 0.000669 0.000868 0.001133 0.001523 0.002098 0.002942 0.004333
2025-06-29 0.000645 0.000842 0.001108 0.001503 0.002091 0.002969 0.004440
2025-07-06 0.000621 0.000816 0.001082 0.001479 0.002080 0.002986 0.004532
2025-07-13 0.000590 0.000780 0.001039 0.001430 0.002027 0.002937 0.004510
2025-07-20 0.000581 0.000773 0.001038 0.001443 0.002068 0.003037 0.004746
2025-07-27 0.000576 0.000773 0.001047 0.001471 0.002133 0.003179 0.005061
2025-08-03 0.000576 0.000778 0.001064 0.001510 0.002219 0.003357 0.005453